Bush's fall puts Republicans at risk
In case you're wondering why gay marriage, the death penalty and other wingnut causes are on the fall ballot, the Washington Post reports:
Democratic pollster Geoff Garin said GOP House candidates have reason to worry. His surveys find that 82 percent of Americans who say they voted for Sen. John F. Kerry (D-Mass.) in 2004 plan to vote for a Democrat for the House this year. But only 65 percent who voted for Bush say they will vote for a Republican House nominee, Garin said. The remaining 35 percent say they are open to voting for a Democrat or staying home.Look for lots of photos of Mark Green with George W. Bush, and John Gard with Dick Cheney, this fall -- only you'll see them coming from the Democratic campaigns, not Green and Gard.
"We get a large chunk of Bush voters who are not motivated to go out and vote for Republicans this fall," Garin said. "That puts a lot of red districts into play."
Other findings:
The latest Washington Post-ABC News poll showed 47 percent of voters "strongly" disapprove of Bush's job performance, vs. 20 percent who said they "strongly approve."True, Bush is not on the ballot. But he might as well be. It won't go away.
...Forty percent said they plan to vote for a Republican in this year's House elections, and 55 percent said they will vote for a Democrat.
Of course, if the US is at "war" in Iran come October -- bombing the shit out of Iranians, in other words -- it could unify the country behind the President, as usually happens in wartime. Somehow, I don't think so.
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