Sunday, August 20, 2006

Rasmussen poll has Doyle +8

For what it's worth -- and that is questionable -- Rasmussen Reports says Jim Doyle leads Mark Green by 8 points in its latest survey:
After two previous polls showed his overall numbers unchanged, incumbent Wisconsin Gov. Jim Doyle (D) has added two points to his lead over Republican Congressman Mark Green and now leads in his re-election race 49% to 41%. This time, it's Green whose number remain unchanged from last month's survey.

Though he's yet to crack the 50% mark, this is Doyle's strongest showing since polling for this race begin in December. Green's high point was 43% in April.
As I've said previously, I am highly skeptical of Rasmussen numbers. It's a Republican firm, for starters. But it also uses automated phone calls, rather than live interviewers. The best you can say is that the jury is still out on whether they're reliable, and many of the jurors think they're not.

Green's campaign puts out press releases trumpeting Rasmussen when it like the numbers, and ignores it when it doesn't. But if a 10-point Doyle lead in a real, independent poll this week was "fantastic news" for Green, they should pop some bubbly and take next week off with only an 8-point gap.


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