Poll shows Kagen leading in 8th CD
From Tuesday's Hotline:
It is Kagen's poll, but from a highly reliable firm, and shows his lead widening. (I do not have a horse in this race.)
WISCONSIN 08 (R/GREEN BAY -- Green)
A Doctor To The House
A Fairbank, Maslin Maullin & Associates (D) poll; conducted 7/9-11 for physician Steve Kagen (D); surveyed 517 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 7/17). Oversample of 300 likely Dem voters; margin of error +/- 5.66%. Tested: Kagen, business consultant Jaime Wall (D), ex-Brown Co. Exec. Nancy Nusbaum (D) and Assemb. Speaker John Gard (R).
General Election Matchups
Kagen 46%
Gard 36
Other/undec 18
Gard 49%
Nusbaum 34
Other/undec 17
Fav/Unfav
Kagen 32%/10%
Gard 29 /27
Nusbaum 27 /39
Primary Election Matchup
(Dems only)
Now - July 06
Kagen 53%
Nusbaum 20
Wall 5
Other/undec 22
Primary matchup May 06 Poll
Kagen 46%
Nusbaum 20
Wall 3
Other/undec 31
Fav/Unfav (Dems only)
Kagen 47%/10%
Nusbaum 36 /29
UPDATE: Gard is trash-talking the poll, so Kagen has challenged him to release his own numbers.
posted by xoff @ 10:05 PM
5 comments
5 Comments:
Bring it on Kristoff - we are holding the seat - we are holding the house.
Thanks for being part of the party of messageless morons.
I tremble at the thought that your party had a point.
Do you have anything to say that doesn't boil down to "nyah nyah, you're stupid!"?
This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.
Nice! It's great to see that the majority of the undecideds are moving over to Kagen. Nusbaum released a bunch of horrible ads and her support went flat. She's out of touch and the people know it. Kagen now has 2 polls showing he is the only one who can beat Gard.
I'm in agreement with Donkey. The fact that the poll, done only a few days after Nusbaum's monthlong TV push, shows Kagen 53%, Nusbaum still at 20%, tells me that Kagen is our guy with the best chance to take back this seat. Her ads clearly did not connect with voters, and the numbers prove it.
The Kagen/Gard head to head also shows Kagen beating Gard by 10 points while Nusbaum is set to lose to Gard by 15 POINTS! No wonder the GOP is trying to tout Nusbaum as a serious, viable candidate...
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